Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 111.475855 123.563807 136.026985 149.809764 164.597105 179.958706 197.095684
2024-10-06 95.911373 114.257473 134.147570 157.193681 183.038845 211.008963 243.444607
2024-10-13 82.024171 104.684808 130.438417 161.569466 197.869983 238.555756 287.287933
2024-10-20 68.391903 93.476307 123.327130 160.887285 206.285585 258.794058 323.498605
2024-10-27 57.733886 84.326649 117.389457 160.562387 214.460361 278.550969 359.488799
2024-11-03 51.645303 80.043830 116.736811 166.194189 229.631169 306.798680 406.198579
2024-11-10 45.925394 75.442874 115.024930 169.995782 242.289353 332.064818 449.773048
2024-11-17 41.345930 71.780379 114.035314 174.345763 255.462373 358.050869 494.657511
2024-11-24 37.753299 69.054119 113.939756 179.622155 269.759224 385.611233 541.982065
2024-12-01 31.518172 61.548209 106.364258 173.948653 268.936334 393.350886 563.930006
2024-12-08 27.062879 56.234893 101.421020 171.458730 272.020349 405.949823 592.101489
2024-12-15 24.049370 52.888806 99.077879 172.418482 279.687997 424.601620 628.364512
2024-12-22 21.786482 50.629477 98.326753 175.798727 291.068386 448.835723 673.015688
2024-12-29 20.453167 49.878455 99.899066 182.719417 307.723992 480.674431 728.560334
2025-01-05 18.703859 48.121323 99.661626 186.781071 320.293409 507.132186 777.356938
2025-01-12 16.247306 44.632854 96.206417 185.538084 324.893818 522.491662 811.252659
2025-01-19 14.191164 41.626349 93.285037 184.893242 330.228910 538.866510 846.716685
2025-01-26 13.317781 41.001386 94.497125 190.969293 345.852038 570.123710 903.268744
2025-02-02 12.262164 39.810919 94.560794 195.077994 358.492353 597.268687 954.446552
2025-02-09 11.389179 38.900591 95.038926 199.830266 372.166535 626.064357 1008.275159
2025-02-16 10.709105 38.347797 96.130596 205.626633 387.572183 657.606624 1066.401939
2025-02-23 8.835180 34.473604 90.442997 199.333852 383.540750 660.404600 1083.578562
2025-03-02 7.541992 31.822646 86.908022 196.567658 384.949070 671.144628 1112.140870